Wednesday, May 1, 2013

NHL Season Wrap-up, Awards and Playoff Preview


Image courtesy of thesportsquotient.com 
Well, that went quick. We’re all the way through the action-packed, 48-game season and the playoff picture is just as crazy as one would have expected. The Montreal Canadians captured the Northeast Division title just a year after finishing 15th in the Eastern Conference. The Florida Panthers finished dead last in points in the entire league after winning the Southeast Division in 2012. The Nashville Predators finished 14th after qualifying for the playoffs in all but one of the past eight seasons.
The shortness of the season (and training camp) is likely to blame for the extra-weird results of this season. However the lockout’s wrath was not limited to the standings; the short season has caused award races to be as strange and unclear as they’ve been in years. Could Sidney Crosby win the Hart despite missing a quarter of the season? Could Alex Ovechkin win after only playing well for 20 games? When did Martin St. Louis come out of retirement? Sergei Bobrovsky doesn’t play for um…who did he play for again?
Needless to say, there was nothing easy about picking these recipients.
Hart- Alex Ovechkin
I feel strange calling Ovie the league’s most valuable playing considering he played like hot garbage for the first half of the season. But his play in the second half was nothing short of incredible. He scored 23 goals in the final 23 games as he led the Capitals from 15th to 3rd in the Eastern Conference. Don’t get me wrong, a lot of factors out of Ovechkin’s control had to go right for him to even be considered. First, if Tampa Bay had any kind of consistent goaltending, Stamkos and St. Louis would be better candidates than Ovechkin. Secondly, if Crosby doesn’t get hurt, he runs away with the award. He was having one of the best seasons we’ve seen anyone have in a long time. If he plays two-three more games, this award is his. Hell, he could still win it. He finished third in points and second in assists and MISSED A QUARTER OF THE SEASON. But I digress; Alex Ovechkin will be the Hart Trophy winner. Even if it’s less convincing than Jose Theodore’s win once upon a time.
Vezina: Sergei Bobrovsky
            Yeah, I’m as surprised as you are.
            I know the Blue Jackets didn’t make the playoffs but Bobrovsky’s performance was too remarkable to ignore. He carried a team that featured Vinny Prospal, Mark Letestu and Artem Ansimov as it’s top scoring threats to within a game of the playoffs. The Jackets went 18-3-5 down the stretch and Bobrovsky allowed only 41 goals on nearly 800 shots during that period. In a normal season Bob probably would have fizzled out and we wouldn’t be discussing this issue. But the shortened season is the perfect time to recognize the incredible stretch Bobrovsky had.
Rookie of the Year: Nail Yakupov
            The Edmonton rookie lived up to the hype as he led all first-year players in points (31) and goals (17). He did this with roughly 10 days of training camp after a six-month lockout. Yakupov appears to have a nice future ahead of him.
Playoffs:
No matter how much thought you put into them or how well you research them, chances are your NHL playoff picks will look silly just days after they are made. That’s just the nature of the league. Keep that in mind next week when I miraculously pick all eight series wrong. To avoid looking too far ahead we’ll focus on the first round for now and I’ll keep it brief.
Chicago over Minnesota in five
This is a totally different Minnesota team than the one that totally collapsed last season. This team can score and doesn’t lay down for anyone. But this Blackhawks squad is too good, defensively strong, fast, tough, creative potent and has too much chemistry to overcome. There are no weaknesses in this team. They have two excellent goalies, a ton of scoring talent and a solid defensive corps.
Vancouver over San Jose in seven
Here we have a matchup of two teams who perennially disappoint in the postseason. The good news: one of them has to win. Both have talented top lines and excellent goaltending. I’ll give the slight edge to Vancouver here because I trust Corey Schneider slightly more than Annti Niemi.
Anaheim over Detroit in six
The Ducks seem to be finally taking advantage of the immense talent on their roster as they’ve had quite the turnaround. Detroit, on the other hand, had to scrap to the end to get to their 22nd consecutive postseason. The Ducks are as playoff experienced as the Wings but their veterans (Getzlaf, Perry, Ryan, Selanne) have plenty of game left. Barring a weird goaltender controversy, Anaheim looks poised to make a run.
Los Angeles over St. Louis in seven
Both teams played much better down the stretch than they did for most of the season. Obviously the second half the season is more emblematic of the teams’ abilities. Conn Smythe winner Jon Quick had a rough start to the season as did the Blues committee of goalies. But Quick stabilized down the stretch while Brian Elliot earned the starting role and played more like he did last year. Both teams are big and physical but a slight edge goes to the Kings because they’re more capable of scoring.
Pittsburgh over New York Islanders in five
This one’s pretty simple. There’s just too much of a talent gap between the two teams whether or not Crosby plays.
Ottawa over Montreal in seven
This would be the upset of the playoffs, correct? Well maybe not. While Montreal had seven more points and an 11 point better goal differential (neither of which are a significant margin), Ottawa was without two of its most important players for most of the season. Now that Erik Karlsson and Craig Anderson have rejoined the team, they’re just as capable of winning this series as Montreal. And they will.
New York Rangers over Washington in six
Although this is technically an upset pick, the Rangers finished with only one point less than the Capitals. Both teams finished the season well but the Rangers appear to be better suited for the playoffs. They have an excellent goalie, very good D and some recently-acquired secondary scoring (oh, hello Derek Stepan). Meanwhile, the Caps almost routinely disappoint in the first round.
Boston over Toronto in six
With all due respect to the first Toronto team to qualify for the postseason in nine years, I’d be mildly shocked if Boston didn’t win this series. The Bruins are two years removed from a Cup win, they’re tough and they’re more talented than Toronto. Boston has trouble scoring at times but has the rock-solid D and excellent goaltending to make up for it. Also, there has to be at least a slight “happy to be here” attitude for the Leafs.

That’s it for now , hockey fans. Enjoy round one and stay hungry, my friends.

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